Re: Moore's Law, According to Laurie

["Robert Erickson" <roberte@recorder.ca>]

----- Original Message -----
From: "rafeb" <rafeb@channel1.com>
To: <epson-inkjet@leben.com>
Sent: Thursday, February 10, 2000 1:08 AM
Subject: RE: Moore's Law, According to Laurie


> At 11:02 PM 2/9/00 -0600, Laurie Solomon wrote:
<snip>
> >In a sense, this "law" appears to be similar to the "stock market" in
that
> >continued growth is known not to go on forever without any future down
turns
> >and that such downturns are not necessarily going to be only short term
> >reversals; but because we are experiencing good times (with many of the
> >younger people never having experienced bad times or major reversals),
> >everyone tends to ignore the possible future realities.
<snip>
> Oh, bat guano, Laurie. It's not even remotely like the
> stock market, in spite of your long and tortured attempt
> to suggest otherwise.
>
> Do you suppose tomorrow's RAM chips will have fewer
> bits than today's?  Please suggest how that might
> happen, short of a planetary disaster.

"Moore's Law" is a finger pointing at a Phenomena...
Rafe maybe forgets that Laurie might see only the finger,
not where it is pointing.
The Amazing Thing is that technology builds upon its successes.
The fact that technical difficulties are regularly overcome is not magic.
This is just smart people working hard. The really awesome effect is that
technical progress really is cummulative. As long as our technological
culture is living, smart people will find ways to make improvements. The
reason this effect is not at all like the mindless optimism of the stock
market is because real knowlege isnt a matter of opinion.

Someday, someone will discover the trick of a really archival print,
and it will not be forgotten! :-)

Bob


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